Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.053938 0.061416 0.069066 0.077447 0.086340 0.095467 0.105516
2025-10-05 0.046038 0.057470 0.069695 0.083603 0.098863 0.114986 0.133202
2025-10-12 0.036872 0.050272 0.065195 0.082736 0.102512 0.123881 0.148492
2025-10-19 0.031461 0.046353 0.063523 0.084238 0.108083 0.134275 0.164855
2025-10-26 0.026632 0.042444 0.061301 0.084609 0.111940 0.142393 0.178361
2025-11-02 0.023139 0.039723 0.060123 0.085876 0.116549 0.151129 0.192352
2025-11-09 0.019639 0.036573 0.058099 0.085861 0.119436 0.157713 0.203743
2025-11-16 0.015581 0.032184 0.054154 0.083199 0.118935 0.160177 0.210239
2025-11-23 0.012255 0.028381 0.050642 0.080809 0.118540 0.162586 0.216515
2025-11-30 0.010588 0.026822 0.049955 0.081860 0.122224 0.169712 0.228188
2025-12-07 0.009316 0.025711 0.049771 0.083476 0.126538 0.177536 0.240639
2025-12-14 0.008547 0.025327 0.050537 0.086285 0.132298 0.187063 0.255071
2025-12-21 0.007170 0.023807 0.049723 0.087135 0.135816 0.194166 0.266998
2025-12-28 0.007445 0.025319 0.053373 0.094015 0.147012 0.210624 0.290101
2026-01-04 0.005832 0.023053 0.051321 0.093135 0.148331 0.215105 0.298997
2026-01-11 0.004976 0.022099 0.051145 0.094740 0.152768 0.223336 0.312324
2026-01-18 0.004000 0.020679 0.050145 0.095136 0.155598 0.229571 0.323241
2026-01-25 0.003323 0.019767 0.049867 0.096484 0.159624 0.237245 0.335862
2026-02-01 0.002535 0.018354 0.048673 0.096468 0.161821 0.242628 0.345701
2026-02-08 0.001549 0.015935 0.045609 0.093635 0.160210 0.243207 0.349664
2026-02-15 0.000847 0.013816 0.042841 0.091089 0.158874 0.244051 0.353883
2026-02-22 0.000592 0.013152 0.042588 0.092209 0.162408 0.250970 0.365471
2026-03-01 0.000424 0.012735 0.042749 0.093930 0.166737 0.258883 0.378268